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    EUR/USD is Trending Downward
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			                    22 September 2011 11:04 AM
                    
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	<span style="font-size: 11px;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">By: Doug Rosen<br />
	</span></span></p>
<p>
	<span style="font-size: 13px;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">An incredibly strong USD continues to drive this pair downward.&nbsp; There is no reason to think this move down is over, it can go on and on.&nbsp; Speed and momentum for this pair is very powerful, one thing that cannot be ignore is the fact that we are in a bullish fib zone. &nbsp;</span></span></p>
<a class="jqzoom" href="/files/English/22Sep11/eurusd_daily_092211.gif" title="EUR/USD Daily Analysis, september 22, 2011"> <img alt=" EUR/USD Daily Analysis, september 22, 2011" border="0" height="513" src="/files/English/22Sep11/eurusd_daily_092211.gif" title="EUR/USD Daily Analysis, september 22, 2011" width="650" /> </a>
<p>
	<span style="font-size: 13px;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">As bullish as this pair is I have a feeling that we may get some buyers in the market around the 1.3400 level which coincides with the 50.0 Fib level of the move up.&nbsp; This pair has been very heavy but it needs to give the ema&#39;s a chance to catch up a bit for bearish continuation to prevail. &nbsp;</span></span></p>
<p>
	<span style="font-size: 13px;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">On the weekly chart we are once again outside the lower Bollinger Band, we have entered the oversold zone of the Stochastics and we are 270 pips below the 5 ema.&nbsp; On the daily chart we are also in the oversold zone of the stochastics and we are also gapped a bit from the 5 ema. &nbsp;<br />
	Moving over to the 4 Hour chart same story, stochastics is in the oversold zone, price is outside of the lower Bollinger Band and we have space between price and the 5 ema.&nbsp; We are also below the Monthly S3 pivot point. &nbsp;</span></span></p>
<a class="jqzoom" href="/files/English/22Sep11/eurusd_4hour_092211.gif" title="EUR/USD 4hour Analysis, september 22, 2011"> <img alt=" EUR/USD 4hour Analysis, september 22, 2011" border="0" height="513" src="/files/English/22Sep11/eurusd_4hour_092211.gif" title="EUR/USD 4hour Analysis, september 22, 2011" width="650" /> </a>
<p>
	<span style="font-size: 13px;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">By the way, the S3 is not a reversal pivot but represents breakout conditions so when broken usually means price can just keep falling.&nbsp; Price is currently walking on the weekly S1 Pivot and the hourly 5 ema is tagging along with price.&nbsp; Hourly Stochastics is also in the oversold zone.</span></span></p>
<p>
	<span style="font-size: 13px;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">Finally, I look to my 15 minute chart and I see we are beginning to consolidate just a bit.&nbsp; Stochastic is in the oversold zone, price has bounced off the lower Bollinger Band and the 5 and 13 ema&#39;s are meeting up with each other.&nbsp; This, does not constitute a pullback just yet, could be just hesitation giving price a chance to catch its breath before further bearish continuation takes place. &nbsp;</span></span></p>
<a class="jqzoom" href="/files/English/22Sep11/eurusd_1hour_092211.gif" title="EUR/USD 1hour Analysis, september 22, 2011"> <img alt=" EUR/USD 1hour Analysis, september 22, 2011" border="0" height="513" src="/files/English/22Sep11/eurusd_1hour_092211.gif" title="EUR/USD 1hour Analysis, september 22, 2011" width="650" /> </a>
<p>
	<span style="font-size: 13px;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">What does all this mean?&nbsp; Simply based on the strength of the USD we have a lot of bears in the market and we are in profit taking areas and since we have broken all the monthly pivots we need to keep an eye on weekly and daily reversal pivots since such areas do trigger profit taking and after a very bearish move, profit taking can cause a large number of buy orders causing a big move to the upside. Keep an eye on the 1.3489 price level since that is the daily S1 and that could be a likely level for profit taking.&nbsp; Keep in mind the exreme levels of the USD/CHF since profit taking on that pair will most definitely effect this pair.<br />
	<br />
	</span></span></p>
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                        <a href="#" rel="author">Doug Rosen</a>
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                                    <p>Doug Rosen is a Florida-based Forex trader who became a skilled technical trader through 3 years of intense practice and self-teaching.  He now coaches a live trading room and analyzes the market on forextradeplans.com.</p>
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